Explorer Egg Drop Rate?

[SocietalPuma]

I just got 10 eggs from a medium or long search(can't remember). Either this is very wrong, or I got very lucky.

Or perhaps you were looking at data from 2013.

[Valentiores]

I've finished 9 long searches so far during easter this year (several levels before I am allowed to do very long searches), and 3 out of 9 have given me 10 or 20 eggs each, 6 out of 9 gave zero. Certainly seems that the pic posted last year, which is used in the wikia page on eggs, is unlikely to have any bearing this year for long searches. That claims I could expect a nearly 96% chance of getting some number of eggs, but so far it is only 33%. Actually before this morning, I had only gotten any on 1 out of 7 searches, or 14%.

[Another_Me]

Based on what was posted earlier, if we assume every search has just as likely a chance to get eggs with only the amount of eggs scaling up with duration, the searches would look something like this:

SEARCH	HRS	AVG	EGGS/HRS	48 HRS	VL_EQUIV_HRS	MARGIN
S	6	5	0.8		40	8.9		2.9
M	12	10	0.8		40	17.8		5.8
L	24	17	0.7		34	30.2		6.2
VL	48	27	0.6		27	48		0.0

Interestingly enough, when compared against the very long search as a baseline, the short search is the least forgiving in terms of "down time".

What I mean by that is that to produce an equivalent number of eggs as very long search, you have to restart the short search each time with a delay no greater than 2.9 hours from the time the search completed. Seems like if you're very active, 2 short searches and a medium search while you sleep should theoretically produce the highest rate of egg retrieval. If you're not, then either the long or very long will be

That is IF every search has the same chance to bring back 0 - Min - Max number of eggs. This is all just speculation.